Page 3 - Management 18 (2023), številka 2

Ajda Fošner Foresight Methods
University of Primorska,
Faculty of Management for Sustainability
ajda.fosner@upr.si
in Higher Education

The paper provides an overview of foresight methods, highlighting their
significance in the context of sustainability and their applicability within
higher education. Foresight methods are strategic approaches that as-
sist in anticipating and preparing for the future, enabling stakeholders
to make informed decisions and shape desirable outcomes. In the con-
text of sustainability, these methods play a crucial role in identifying
emerging trends, risks, and opportunities, and guiding the development
of sustainable strategies and practices. The paper emphasizes the rele-
vance of foresight methods in higher education institutions. It explores
how these methods can be effectively utilized to enhance strategic plan-
ning, curriculum development, research prioritization, and institution-
al transformation towards sustainability. Foresight methods provide a
structured framework for analysing and addressing complex sustainabil-
ity challenges, enabling higher education institutions to anticipate and
respond to changing societal needs and global trends.
Keywords: foresight methods, sustainability, higher education

Metode napovedovanja za trajnostni razvoj v visokošolskem
izobraževanju
V članku so predstavljene metode napovedovanja v kontekstu trajnosti
in njihova uporabnost v visokošolskem izobraževanju. Metode napove-
dovanja pomagajo pri pripravi na prihodnost ter omogočajo sprejeman-
je premišljenih odločitev in oblikovanje želenih rezultatov. V kontekstu
trajnosti imajo te metode ključno vlogo pri prepoznavanju trendov, tve-
ganj in priložnosti. V članku je izpostavljen njihov pomen na področju vi-
sokošolskega izobraževanja. Predstavljeno je, kako je mogoče te metode
učinkovito uporabiti za izboljšanje strateškega načrtovanja, razvoj učnih
načrtov, določanje prednostnih nalog raziskav in institucionalno preo-
blikovanje v smeri trajnosti. Metode napovedovanja zagotavljajo struk-
turiran okvir za analizo in obravnavanje zapletenih izzivov trajnosti, kar
visokošolskim ustanovam omogoča predvidevanje in odziv na sprem-
injajoče se družbene potrebe ter globalne trende.
Ključne besede: metode napovedovanja, trajnostni razvoj, visokošolsko
izobraževanje
https://doi.org/10.26493/1854-4231.18.51-54

Introduction ecological megatrends are compared. Since 1950,
Since the 1950s, there has been a noticeable in- these indicators have revealed a significant rela-
crease in human activity in numerous locations. tionship between changes in the Earth’s systems
Global growth has reduced the amount of nat- and economic progress. This suggests that signif-
ural resources needed for expansion. The term icant changes in the Earth’s systems have been
‘the great acceleration’ describes both the speed caused by human-induced development (Steffen
of development and the rapid depletion of natu- et al. 2015).
ral resources. In the model with the same name, The great acceleration has led to an enormous
twelve socio-economic megatrends and twelve demand for natural resources. Coal deposits took

management 18 (2023) številka 2 51